Peyton Manning better clear some space on his trophy shelf. EA Sports says that a simulation of Super Bowl XLVIII, run via its video game Madden NFL 25, predicts that the Denver Broncos will defeat the Seattle Seahawks 31-28 in Sunday’s game, and that Denver quarterback Manning will be named the game’s MVP after throwing for 322 yards and three touchdowns.
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The prediction has surely left Seattle fans united in their disdain: Who cares what a video game says? But the fact is that Madden NFL has a remarkable track record when it comes to the Super Bowl, and has correctly called the winner in eight of the last ten match-ups.
Last year, Electronic Arts’ simulation of Super Bowl XLVII correctly predicted a three-point Baltimore Ravens win, called touchdowns by Anquan Boldin and Frank Gore, nailed Joe Flacco as the game’s MVP, and even forsaw an Ed Reed interception as the only pick in the game.
Overall, the video game has shown a high degree of accuracy not only in choosing Super Bowl winners, but identifying the point spread:
|Year||Bowl||Madden’s Prediction||Actual Score||Accuracy|
|2013||XLVII||Ravens 27, 49ers 24||Ravens, 34-31||Correct (+0)|
|2012||XLVI||Giants 27, Patriots 24||Giants, 21-17||Correct (-1)|
|2011||XLV||Steelers 24, Packers 20||Packers, 31-25||Wrong (-10)|
|2010||XLIV||Saints 35, Colts 31||Saints, 31-17||Correct (+0)|
|2009||XLIII||Steelers 28, Cardinals 24||Steelers, 27-23||Correct (+0)|
|2008||XLII||Patriots 38, Giants 30||Giants, 17-14||Wrong (-12)|
|2007||XLI||Colts 38, Bears 27||Colts, 29-17|| Correct (-1)|
|2006||XL||Steelers 24, Seahawks 19||Steelers, 21-10||Correct (-6)|
|2005||XXXIX||Patriots 47, Eagles 31||Patriots, 24-21||Correct (+13)|
|2004||XXXVIII||Patriots 23, Panthers 20||Patriots, 32-29||Correct (-1)|
This year’s simulation, run via Madden NFL 25, says that Sunday’s game will be the first Super Bowl ever to go into overtime, thanks in large part to Peyton Manning’s 322 yard, and three touchdown performance. Demaryius Thomas will catch 11 of those passes for 168 yards and a touchdown, and kicker Matt Prater will hit a 48-yard field goal to win the game for the Broncos.
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