As Oscars draw close, it is now an argument between who should win and who will win the most Oscars.
The #OscarSoWhite controversy has subsided in intensity to the Oscar hype of choosing winners from among the nominations. As the ceremony at the Dolby Digital Theatre draw to a close, the audience, fans and critics alike turn their focus from the colour of the nominees to the nominees and assess their work.
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All the nominees have exhibited some of the best cinematic experience this year. While many worthy performances have been snubbed, the nominations represent a part of the excellence that Hollywood had to offer.
The audience and fans have been recorded in form of polls on social media, survey and consensus. The public consensus are the most precise way of depicting what the general public likes and who they want to see get awards.
But they have the People’s Choice Awards for that and this year Furious 7 won the award for the Best Film. Safe to say that the excellence in cinema is not based on the factor to thrill.
The Academy of Motion Pictures and Science has a certain criteria of nominating the movies and while the general public might deem them boring, the Academy concentrates on the artistic and cinematic value of the movies.
Same is the case with this year’s nominations. The Academy members shortlist from the movies of the year, what they think are Oscar-worthy and that list is then assessed by the general public, critics and Academy members to choose their favorite and whom they think should win.
There is however a discrepancy. The Oscar nomination and win relies heavily on campaigning and while most diverse movies are protesting against being snubbed, a fact has to be acknowledged.
The white population is very practiced in setting up effective Oscar campaigns. They know how to impress the Academy members which is an art that the diverse groups are yet to learn. In the effective Oscar campaigning phenomenon, the crucial element of timing always effect the Oscar race.
Initially this year, Bridge of Spies and Spotlight were the favorites to win. Bridge of Spies was unable to hold the lead but Spotlight emerged strong. The acting ensemble, the direction, screenplay and the context of the movie all impressed critics and audience alike and it seemed unlikely that any movie would surpass Spotlight’s enigma.
That is until the end of the year 2015 when movies emerged as potential contenders. Among them are The Revenant, Joy, Room and the Big Short. Other than that, certain movies like Brooklyn, The Danish Girl and the Martian have held their own while actors and directors in certain movies like Steve Jobs and Carol have been able to make their own mark.
So now it becomes a discussion about who should win the Oscars and who has the most probability to win an Oscar. It is a competition between the talent and the popularity and right now The Revenant seems to be the most popular contender to win this year.
With 12 nomination across different categories including Best Director for Alejandro G. Innaritu, Best Actor for Leonardo DiCaprio and even Best Film. The film is a definite shoo-in for winning Best Cinematography.
The movie was released earlier this year and has run an active campaign for the Oscars. The movie’s story and concept has been the most different and that is why it has enthralled audience and critics alike. However, thrill does not account for the question whether Innaritu and DiCaprio deserve to win the award or not.
Innaritu won the award for the same category last year for Birdman which many people have argued to be a commercial content that was not actually Oscar worthy.
The Revenant, despite its gruelling background and format, the movie fails to inspire in direction and acting categories and people are comparing both of their performances to other nominees and people are certainly indicating more deserving contenders for the win.
Eddie Redmayne’s role has been acclaimed as quite deserving for its unique set of traits and he successfully humanized a character that was bigger than life on paper.
Critics have also deemed Michael Fassbender’s performance as a worthy performance. The British actor has been accredited to humanize the American visionary Steve Jobs role and executed it beyond perfection.
Leonardo’s role has lacked conviction, complexity and artistry that other actors have exhibited and Leo’s Oscar winning favour has been generated more out of desire for Leo to win an Oscar based on his losing streak for much deserving roles. His role in The Revenant has failed to impress the critics to earn him favour of becoming the winner of the night.
Jennifer Lawrence’s popularity is also being accounted for being the factor that will sway the votes in her favour. Jennifer’s role in Joy has been on the same pattern of performance that she had delivered before and there has been nothing too different about the role.
In this case however, Room’s Brie Larson has emerged as an overall favourite. She has won in most award functions and her acting has been up to par with the standards of qualifying as an Oscar-worthy performance.
Same phenomenon has been seen for the Best Supporting Actress. Kate Winslet has emerged as the choice who will win the Oscar based on her history of strong performances.
People are however deeming Alicia Vikander’s performance that should win the Oscar. Her role in the Danish Girl has earned her a multitude of awards.
She is someone who could give Winslet a run for her money but we have to remember that Felicity Jones was also on the same level as Alicia is on now for The Theory of Everything but she lost to Patricia Arquette, a senior actress just like Winslet.
The Best Supporting Actor is a toss, it is a much more gruesome fight. While people are saying that Leo’s probability to win is also based on the lack of competition in the category but the Best Supporting Actor category is filled with top-notch performance including Sylvester Stallone for his reprisal of Rocky in Creed, Mark Rylance from the Bridge of Spies and Mark Ruffalo from Spotlight. All contenders in this race have earned equal support for their performance and it will definitely be a surprise.
The Best Director contenders are at a more bipolar status. Alejandro G. Innaritu is the obvious choice to win this award. Many people are arguing that a back to back consecutive win for a director is almost impossible.
The support for Innaritu’s win is monumental and the only person who seems to be a favourite for beating Innaritu is George Miller for Mad Max: Fury Road. Miller has been a unique nominee as it did not qualify in any acting category. The acknowledgement of Miller for this category is itself an affirmation that Miller should win the award.
The other two directors who have emerged as possible contender who should win the Oscars are Spotlight’s Tom McCarthy and Adam McKay for The Big Short. While both of the directors have been credited for great direction but Innaritu and Miller’s lead is not easy to pass.
At the end it is a cutting edge race for the Best Movie and most sources have deemed that The Revenant will take the award home. The movie has captured a wide fan base and harnessed a lot of Oscar favour.
The 12 nominations are evidence of its popularity. The one surprising contender is however Mad Max: Fury Road. Beyond expectation, the movie has garnered a lot of support and it is the one movie that fans want to see beat The Revenant.
The other movie that many fans and critics think should win the big award is Spotlight. It was the front-runner to grab this award but The Revenant and Mad Max have given the movie a run for its money.
We will only see whether the deserving contender win or the popular one. It is the race between who will and who should and all our questions will be answered on 28th February.
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The 88th Oscars will be held on Sunday, February 28, at the Dolby Theatre® at Hollywood & Highland Center in Hollywood, and will be televised live by the ABC Television Network. The Oscar presentation also will be televised live in more than 225 countries and territories worldwide.