It is being said that Indian monsoon predictions for the present year are going to receive a computerized rehaul.
The forecasting of the monsoon rains in India will be getting a revamp. These downpours are the very warp and woof of the crops which feed more than 1.3 billion people in the country. The farmers depend on them entirely for their subsistence.
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In the past, a colonial era methodology was used for making the predictions. Yet now all that is about to change. Approximately $60 million is to be spent on supercomputers which will enhance the prediction accuracy for this humid rainy phenomenon.
The new method is based on procedures perfected in the USA and meant for India alone. They involve extreme computing ability which then generates models of the situation at hand in order to predict with precision the outcome of the monsoons.
This method will allow India to increase its crop output by 15%, according to PopularMechanics. Farmers will know when to sow, irrigate and fertilize their crops. Also the farming will be titrated vis-à-vis the rainfall. This would prove to be very salubrious for India. After all, India is the largest grower and consumer of wheat, rice, sugar and cotton.
If things go as per plan, by the time the next year arrives, this dynamic method will take the place of the statistical method. Many regions of India receive more than 70% of the rainfall during the monsoon season. With the rainfall pouring down in plentiful amounts, the villages are set to increase their internal revenue.
That essentially means that over 600 million people will flourish and a series of economic benefits will accrue to the nation as a whole. The novel supercomputers that would be received by India will be ten times speedier than the previous ones. The erstwhile computers were supplied by IBM.
The IMD has made a forecast already for India as a whole. It normally divides the country into five regions. The dynamic model forecasts monsoons in a much better way than the statistical model. It employs historical records and also uses six to eight predicting factors in its analysis.
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India’s sheer size demands that the forecasts be more extensive since each region and its farmers have differing needs and trends. Many farmers are optimistic about this high tech makeover of sorts. They feel sure of the fact that it will benefit India in the long run.