Climate model suggests only eight countries will be cool enough to host summer olympcis by the end of the century
Rio 2016 Olympics are currently underway in Brazil and are enjoyed by millions of people across the globe. But there is a possibility that Olympics may not be held in future.
A new research suggests there will be only few cities left cool enough in future that will be able to host summer Olympics while most other will likely become unfitting territories to organize Olympics due to ever rising temperatures.
According to a new study in Lancet, only eight Northern Hemisphere cities outside of Western Europe will be suitable enough to host the summer games by 2085.
“The Summer Olympics represent only a small part of all outdoor work, but are iconic as the most prestigious and inclusive sporting competition in the world. But increasing restrictions on when, where, and how the Games can be held owing to extreme heat are a sign of a much bigger problem.” Co-author, Professor Alistair Woodward from Auckland University’s department of Epidemiology and Biostatistics said.
Researchers used two standard climate models for making projections of rising temperature and humidity over the next century and estimate their effects on the cities eligible for organizing the summer Olympics games.
Projections shows that Istanbul, Madrid, Rome, Paris and Budapest – all cities that are or were in contention for either the 2020 or 2024 Summer Olympics – would be unfit to host the games by 2085. Tokyo, the host of 2020 summer Olympics, will also become too hot and humid in future to safely run a marathon.
Eight out of 543 cities outside of Western Europe that would fall as "low-risk" category includes St. Petersburg, Russia; Riga, Latvia; Bishkek, Kyrgyzstan; and Ulaanbaatar, Mongolia. Only three cities in North America, Calgary, Vancouver and San Francisco will remain cooler till the end of the century. But the realistic Olympic contenders could be Belfast, Dublin, Edinburgh and Glasgow due to their relatively cooler temperatures.
“Climate change threatens human health in many ways - through heat waves, extreme weather events, and shifts in disease vectors, as well as economic and social stresses on populations living in or trying to escape areas affected by seawater intrusion, drought, lower agricultural productivity, and floods,” said Woodward.
“The world beyond 2050 poses increasingly difficult challenges, not only because of the inherent uncertainties in long-term predictions but because the extent and speed of climate change might exceed society’s ability to adapt.”
Research suggests that future Olympics will also be different from what we see today.
“The Games might be run entirely indoors, in winters or without the marathon and other head-sensitive endurance events, but they would then be quite different from what the world has come to consider the Summer Olympics.” Study concludes.
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