Black Friday 2016 Predictions

Posted: Sep 1 2016, 4:18am CDT | by , Updated: Sep 20 2016, 1:37am CDT, in News | Black Friday


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Black Friday 2016 Predictions
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The first comprehensive Black Friday 2016 predictions set the stage for record-breaking Black Friday 2016 season.

    We are just past the 100 days to Black Friday 2016 mark two weeks ago. There is still plenty of time until this year's Black Friday sales begin for shoppers to prepare. Stores are working on Black Friday 2016 already since a while and also the Black Friday experts at BFAds have begun to prepare for Black Friday. 

    Based on their extensive data collected about Black Friday deals and sales in 2015, BFAds has put together key indicators for Black Friday 2016.

    When does Black Friday 2016 Begin 

    Not counting “early access” Black Friday events, more than 20 major retailers flipped the Black Friday switch early last year, including Kohl’s and Newegg starting on the Monday before Thanksgiving…expect similar tactics this year with the majority of online Black Friday deals available online on (if not before) Wednesday September 23 from almost every major retailer. Also, if recent low pricing of video game consoles, 4K TVs and Amazon tech products are any indication, we expect many of this year’s “early access” and/or “sneak peek” sale items to sell out quickly online ahead of Black Friday week.

    What Beals to Buy in Black Friday 2016 Sales

    • Expect at least 50 4k TV deals under $500 (29 in 2015)
    • Expect more than 60 laptop deals under $200 (39 in 2015)
    • Shoppers will find 70 tablet deals under $100 (48 in 2015)
    • We’ll see a few PS4/Xbox ONE Console Bundles under $300
    • VR headsets will draw big buzz-price drops may be meh, so look for them bundled with GCs
      iPhone 7, Galaxy Note 7 and LG G5 will all be available somewhere for $0 down
    • Black Friday Toy deals get more tech-centric with lowest prices of the season on Robots, Exploding Kittens, Quadcopters and new powered LEGO sets
    • Smart/Wireless Devices will be front and center with some of the lowest prices ever on bluetooth speakers and headphones, fitness trackers, smartwatches and smart home hubs and accessories
    • Finally, clothing is a good bet for finding the best Black Friday bargains, especially this year with nearly every apparel retailer and branded store offering sitewide discounts and BOGO deals on Thanksgiving

    What are the best Black Friday 2016 Stores

    Welcome to more price-matching and free shipping wars this year as the big retailers will be floating shipping subscription discounts to holiday shoppers with annoying frequency. Walmart, Best Buy and Target will be the big destinations for buzz-worthy doorbusters offered in timely chunks both in-store and online. Again, a handful of stores will incentivize some of the more popular products with bonus store gift cards, including Meijer, DELL and Target. Early access to select Black Friday deals in advance of Thanksgiving will become the norm for many retailers, but don’t count out online retailers like Amazon, Newegg and eBay which generally offer more items at the lowest, or very competitive prices for an entire week or longer.

    A look back: Black Friday 2015 by the numbers

    In 2015, nearly 50,000 Black Friday deals were featured in 217 Black Friday Ads, that’s about a 10% increase from 2014 (and that’s not including retailers like Amazon and Newegg who do not create traditional ad scans). There were more than 6,400 doorbusters (11% increase over 2014) and there were more than 14,000 Black Friday deals under $20. Although computers and electronics deals were generally down from previous years, 4K TV deals were up 69% with average prices nearly $200 less than in 2014. Toy deals were up 27% and Apparel deals also increased 33%.

    Stores with more than 1,000 advertised Black Friday deals include: 

    • 1,950 at Macy’s
    • 1,798 at Target
    • 1,437 at JCPenney
    • 1,387 at Toys R Us
    • 1,340 at Best Buy 
    • 1,262 at Sears
    • 1,014 at Walmart
    • and, 951 at Kohl’s

    Notable Black Friday deals by Category in 2015:

    • 1,163 Computing Device deals (down 16% from 2014)
      • 148 Desktop Computer deals (down 45% from 2014)
      • 360 Laptop deals (down 6% from 2014)
      • 135 Computer Monitor deals (up 33% from 2014)
      • 359 Tablet Device deals (down 44% from 2014)
        • 48 Apple iPad deals (down 75% from 2014)
        • 18 Microsoft Surface deals (up 39% from 2014)
    • 2,271 Electronics deals (up 2% from 2014)
      • 556 HDTV deals (down 17% from 2014)
        • 204 4K TV deals (up 69% from 2014)
    • 300 Cell Phone deals (up 23% from 2014)
      • 53 iPhone deals (up 8% from 2014)
      • 47 Samsung Galaxy deals (down 27% from 2014)
    • 1,478 Video Game deals (down 13% from 2014)
      • 170 Video Game Console deals (up 8% from 2014)
    • 12,557 Apparel/Accessories deals (up 33% from 2014)
      • 3,039 were Doorbuster deals (up 21% from 2014)
      • 1,850 Shoe deals (up 17% from 2014)
    • 6,395 Toys deals (up 27% from 2014)
      • 1,101 were under $10 (up 34% from 2014)
      • 2,836 were under $20 (up 37% from 2014)

    Early Black Friday launches 

    WED NOV 25  - Gap, Macy’s, RadioShack, Shopko, Kmart, hhgregg, Lowe’s, Office Depot, Barnes & Noble, Toys R Us, Sears, Home Depot, Walmart, JCP, Best Buy, Staples, Microsoft Store, Old Navy, Gamestop 

    MON NOV 23 - Kohl’s (online), Newegg, Kate Spade/Jack Spade

    SUN NOV 22 - Bon-Ton, Amazon (Kindle Prices)

    Early Access sales between NOV 19-24  included Best Buy (8 more Black Friday Deals), Amazon (8 Days to Black Friday), BonTon, Sears, Kmart, Toy R Us,, Target, Express and Gamestop, ULTA.

    Black Friday 2016 is on November 25, 2016. Thr first Pre Black Friday 2016 sales begin based on past years already early November. The first Black Friday 2016 deals will be therefore already go on sale in 2 month. I4U News is again providing full coverage of Black Friday and Cyber Monday with all the hot deals you need to get and the Black Friday ads to read. Check out also our Black Friday 2016 Tech Trends report.

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The Author

<a href="/latest_stories/all/all/2" rel="author">Luigi Lugmayr</a>
Luigi Lugmayr () is the founding chief Editor of I4U News and brings over 15 years experience in the technology field to the ever evolving and exciting world of gadgets. He started I4U News back in 2000 and evolved it into vibrant technology magazine.
Luigi can be contacted directly at




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