And who will be #3?
Check it- early Analytics info gives Apple a commanding 95.5% lead in the global tablet computer market. In total, that market consists of some 4.4 million shipped units (in Q3). 4.19 million of those were iPads.
Android is in second place...but they are lagging very far behind, with only 2.3% of the market. Of course, the "global tablet market" is still incredibly small. There are no webOS, MeeGo or BlackBerry tablets yet, and no REAL Android tablets. The Galaxy Tab uses a version of Android that is not optimized for tablets.
It's clear that these numbers will be VERY different in Q3 of 2011. Just how different? Let's look at the (proposed) numbers.
The tablet market is set to hit 54.8 million units in 2011. Some analysts see Apple selling 36.5 million iPads in 2011. ViewSonic, one of Apple's tablet rivals, estimates 22.5 million iPad sales out of 45 million total tablet sales.
Whoever we listen to, we end up with the same result. By 2012, Apple will hold around 50-60% of the tablet market. A tad less or more is possible, but somewhere within that ballpark. I feel confident awarding the #2 spot to Android. If the same pattern holds true for tablets that has for smartphones, we could see Android surpass iOS in tablets by 2013-2014.
This leaves us with a future tablet market that looks a lot like the smartphone market today. Android on top, Apple right behind at 20-30% and....who in third? RIM certainly wants that spot- and they're making a break for it with the Playbook. But so does webOS and MeeGo.
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While Apple and Google fight for the top of the mountain, someone has to move into the foothills. The question is...who?