CES 2011 is over and consumer electronics companies bombarded us with thier new products just 6 weeks after we got a great deal on a 2010 model during Black Friday Sales. Let's leave a side that you know own an soon to be outdated product what do the newly announced products mean come Black Friday 2011 in November?
Get ready for tons of Tablet Black Friday deals. It will be crazy and nothing compared to last Black Friday. The scenario I predict will be that major manufacturers including Motorola, Samsung, LG and Toshiba will try anything to make you buy their Honeycomb tablets despite everybody wanting an iPad 2.
On top of that second tier tablet makers will try to sell their run of the mill tablets at ultra-low prices and some will try to get a foothold marketed as eBook readers.
Last Black Friday there have not been any real Apple iPad deals. This is likely to change for Black Friday 2011 as the iPad will be available in its 2nd generation and in ample supply. I expect similar savings we saw on the iPods last season. You will see discounts in the 20% range and $50 or more gift card bundles. This situation will make it even harder for Android Tablets to compete with the iPad.
In TV land the CES 2011 is leading us to believe that there will be a "3D TV technology mess" come Black Friday 2011. 3D for the living room will be available in a broad range of fidelity delivered by different types of 3D technology that wil likely not help adoption. I predict 2011 to be flat year for 3D until the industry is sorting itself out. I have my bets on integrating the shutter technology in the TV that Samsung announced. Samsung's RDZ 3D TVs can be use with cheap RealD glasses and you still get the full resolution in 3D mode. The polarization route that other manufactures take this year is set to fail as it only gives you half the resolution. More on the 3D TV 2011 tech confusion. What this means for Black Friday 2011 TV deals is that you get bargain deals on 3D TV with questionable 3D fidelity. How the 3D content availability will develop until Black Friday is still unclear.
4G phones will be huge during Black Friday 2011 as carriers continue to expand their 4G networks. Expect for free deals on 4G handsets as carriers start to grab market share for real.
CES 2011 did not introduce any new major product category. It just brought us a wave of improved devices and a broader variety. The next months will actually show which devices will make it to the market and will still be available during Black Friday 2011.