iPad dominance still much bigger than market surveys make us believe?
The Apple iPad made the tablet a success when it launched last year. Until Android Honeycomb tablets came around there was no real competition. Most anticipate that Android will over take the iPad is it did with the iPhone. The latest tablet market share analyses that surfaced this week saw Android already at 30%. This triggered Apple follower John Gruber at Daring Fireball to do his own math. Based on his analyses of the tablet market the iPad outsells Android Honeycomb tablets by 21:1. Sounds outrageous, but they way he got to this number makes a lot of sense.
We are not talking about how many tablets have been shipped or pushed into the sales channel, but actual sold tablets that customers have in their hands. We know exactly how many iPads are sold. Apple just updated that number and it stands now at 28.73m. Android tablets are much harder to count, as there so many different vendors and most of them just reveal how many tablets they shipped. Gruber therefore looks at the Android activation numbers that Google published and arrives at roughly 1.35 million Android Honeycomb tablets.
I also agree with Gruber, that the iPad is different from the iPhone. The iPad created a market like the iPod did. The iPod still dominates and unless Amazon cooks up a really awesome and lower priced tablet, the iPad will continue to dominate in the years to come.