Investors cheer as Toshiba nears HD DVD Surrender
Posted on Sun, 17 Feb 2008 23:46:57 CST | by Luigi Lugmayr
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By Nathan Layne
TOKYO (Reuters) - Investors cheered an impending end to a format war for
next-generation DVDs on Monday, pushing up shares of both Toshiba, on the verge
of abandoning its HD DVD discs, and Sony, the leader of the rival Blu-ray camp.
Toshiba Corp shares jumped 5.1 percent as analysts praised its decision to cut
its losses, while Sony Corp, whose technology is set to become the industry
standard for the next generation of high-definition home movie DVDs, rose 2.7
percent.
"It doesn't make sense for Toshiba to continue putting effort into this," said
Koichi Ogawa, a chief portfolio manager at Daiwa SB Investments. "It needs to
cut its losses and focus its resources on promising businesses."
A source at Toshiba told Reuters on Saturday that the electronics conglomerate
was planning to give up on the HD DVD format after losing the support of key
retailers and several movie studios including Warner Brothers.
Toshiba, which led a consortium promoting HD DVD, would suffer losses of
hundreds of millions of dollars to scrap production of its equipment and other
steps to withdraw from the business, Japanese public broadcaster NHK reported.
But analysts gave high marks to Toshiba's seemingly quick decision to pull the
plug on HD DVD because of the heavy costs involved in promoting the format.
Nikko Citigroup raised its rating on Toshiba to "buy/high risk" from "hold/high
risk." JP Morgan maintained its "overweight" rating while predicting the
elimination of sales promotion costs would add 30 billion yen ($280 million) to
Toshiba's operating profit in the next business year from April.
"Since the business has no growth potential without video software, we think the
company will probably withdraw completely rather than just partially," JP Morgan
analysts Yoshiharu Izumi and Masashi Hayami wrote in a note to clients.
PRESSURE FOR WINNER
While keen on a new format DVD that can hold more content and produce
higher-quality pictures, movie studios and retailers want a single format that
would avoid the cost of producing and stocking two different types of DVD.
Shoppers, faced with two formats and movies that might only play on one or the
other, have tended to buy neither at a time when the entertainment industry was
hoping the new generation discs would revive the $24 billion home DVD sector.
An end to the war means consumers can now be sure they won't be stuck with a
21st century equivalent of Betamax -- Sony's videotape technology that lost out
to VHS in the 1980s.
Shares of Toshiba hit 828 yen in morning trade, their highest since late
December. Sony shares hit 4,980 yen but shares of Matsushita Electric
Industrial, a key Blu-ray supporter, shed 0.7 percent. The benchmark Nikkei
average was up 1.3 percent.
The defection of Time Warner Inc's Warner Brothers to Blu-ray from HD DVD in
January was a heavy blow to Toshiba's plans.
It took Hollywood's biggest film library into the Sony consortium's camp and
meant 70 percent of Hollywood movies would be in the Blu-ray format.
When the world's largest retailer, Wal-Mart Stores Inc, said on Friday it would
quit stocking HD DVD movies in its 4,000 U.S. stores, both consumers and pundits
said the war was over.
The decision matched earlier ones by consumer electronics chain Best Buy Co Inc
and online video rental company Netflix Inc
"Blu-ray won. It's fantastic and I trust Sony," said one customer who was
browsing the DVD player aisles at the Best Buy Co Inc store on New York's Fifth
Avenue.
Tania Bonetti, who works in the home theatre section of the store, where DVD
players cost from $399 to almost $1,000, said, "Blu-rays are flying off the
shelves, but we have to order if you want HD."
Wal-Mart's own movie and gaming blogger put the future of HD DVD in stark terms.
"If you bought the HD player like me, I'd retire it to the bedroom, kid's
playroom, or give it to your parents to play their John Wayne standard def
movies, and make space for a BD (Blu-ray disc) player for your awesome Hi Def
experience," Wal-Mart blogger Susan Chronister wrote in a posting.
Stephanie Prange, editor in chief of Home Media Magazine, said the war's end
should boost high-definition DVD adoption.
"It would definitely help. The two formats, though both were good, have confused
consumers and prevented them from moving into the high-def future," she said.
($1=107.83 Yen)
(Editing by Rodney Joyce)
© Copyright 2007 Reuters.
Posted on Sun, 17 Feb 2008 23:46:57 CST | by Luigi Lugmayr
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