Microsoft, Yahoo mull Media Partner Options: Sources
Posted on Wed, 2 Jul 2008 23:48:03 CDT | by Luigi Lugmayr
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By Eric Auchard and Kenneth Li
SAN FRANCISCO/NEW YORK (Reuters) - Microsoft Corp and Yahoo Inc have been
holding separate talks with other potential media partners after their
negotiations with each other broke down, sources familiar with the companies'
thinking said on Wednesday.
Microsoft -- rebuffed this year in efforts to buy all of Yahoo and then just its
search business -- is talking about alternative deals with Time Warner Inc ,
which owns AOL, and News Corp , parent of MySpace, a source close to Microsoft
said, but any negotiations remain in preliminary stages.
Meanwhile, talks have continued for months between Yahoo and Time Warner over a
potential merger of AOL with Yahoo to create a more formidable advertising and
media player, but they are no closer to a deal, a source close to the matter
said.
Shares of Yahoo jumped as much as 9 percent on Wednesday after the Wall Street
Journal reported that Microsoft, positioning for a new run for Yahoo's search
business, had in recent days approached media companies to join together on a
deal that would effectively lead to Yahoo's breakup.
However, a Reuters source and a CNBC report, citing unnamed sources, later said
there were no new talks or negotiations.
The Journal also said Microsoft met with activist investor Carl Icahn in recent
days to encourage him to press his proxy battle for control of Yahoo's board,
the first sign Microsoft welcomed his month-old campaign. This development also
was attributed to unnamed sources familiar with the talks.
Icahn was not available to comment on the report.
Microsoft, Yahoo, Time Warner and News Corp all declined comment.
REVIVING HOPE
Wall Street analysts said the latest news revived flagging hopes among some
investors that Microsoft was still interested in doing a deal with Yahoo. "The
hopes that Microsoft would come back were getting crushed over the last 10
trading days," Collins Stewart analyst Sandeep Aggarwal said.
Yahoo stock ended the day up 3.4 percent at $20.88. The stock had traded as low
as $19.58 on Tuesday, near its level in late January before Microsoft made its
unsolicited takeover bid for Yahoo, sending the stock above $30 by mid-February.
Microsoft shares fell 3.7 percent to $25.88 on Wednesday. In the prior day's
trading, Microsoft fell to two-year lows of $23.19, intraday, before recovering.
Analyst Youssef Squali of Jefferies & Co said the sharp Yahoo stock reaction was
most likely a defensive move by short-sellers seeking to cover bets a Microsoft
deal was off.
"Even the rumor that Microsoft is getting interested again is enough to have
people to want to cover their bets against Yahoo stock," Squali said, adding
that many investors have shorted Yahoo from the high $20s all the way down below
$20.
Adding to the volatility were options investors who placed fresh bets Yahoo
would be trading up to $27.50 by October, said analyst Rebecca Engmann Darst of
Interactive Brokers Group.
THE WAITING GAME
Several financial analysts said a key detail in the Journal report was that
Microsoft and Yahoo executives had sought to revisit the merger on May 17 -- two
weeks after Microsoft walked away -- and that two Yahoo board members in the
meeting had said they would settle for a merger worth $33-$34 a share.
On May 3, Yahoo rejected a $33-a-share Microsoft offer worth $47.5 billion, and
earlier this week questioned whether the software maker was ever serious about a
full-scale merger.
The source familiar with Microsoft's thinking confirmed that Yahoo had belatedly
sought a deal in mid-May worth $33 to $34, but that Microsoft was no longer
interested at that point.
The source said Microsoft executives considered the early May deadline as vital
to winning regulatory approval before the end of the year -- when a new
presidential administration arrives and months more delays would likely occur.
Microsoft also become convinced that Yahoo executives were passively resisting
the deal and unwilling to seriously negotiate. Meanwhile, the economy has taken
a toll on the online ad market, and with it, the value of buying Yahoo.
"Microsoft is going to let Icahn do the dirty work and hand Yahoo over to them,"
Jefferies & Co's Squali said, adding that it was in Microsoft's interest to hang
back and let Yahoo shares settle lower as investors quit betting on a takeover
premium.
In the long run, however, Microsoft needs Yahoo more than Yahoo needs Microsoft,
he argued.
"Microsoft has a gaping hole in its strategy and it's called the Internet and
it's only getting worse because Google is encroaching on Microsoft's business,"
Squali said.
Separately, the U.S. Justice Department is pursuing a formal antitrust
investigation into a deal reached last month between Yahoo and
Microsoft-archrival Google Inc to team up on Web search advertising.
Google, with more than 60 percent of the Web search market, and Yahoo, with 16.6
percent, agreed to a deal for Google to run search ads on Yahoo's site in a
partnership that could mean $250 million to $450 million in new cash flow for
Yahoo.
Google said it was confident the deal would enhance overall industry
competition, but declined to discuss the probe.
(Additional reporting by Ajay Kamalakaran in Bangalore, Franklin Paul in New
York, Diane Bartz in Washington, D.C., Doris Frankel in Chicago; Editing by
Derek Caney, Leslie Gevirtz, Gary Hill)
© Copyright 2008 Reuters.
Posted on Wed, 2 Jul 2008 23:48:03 CDT | by Luigi Lugmayr
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