Can Madden NFL Predict Another Super Bowl Champion?

Posted: Jan 29 2014, 12:22am CST | by , Updated: Jan 29 2014, 12:26am CST, in Technology News


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Can Madden NFL Predict Another Super Bowl Champion?

Peyton Manning better clear some space on his trophy shelf. EA Sports says that a simulation of Super Bowl XLVIII, run via its video game Madden NFL 25, predicts that the Denver Broncos will defeat the Seattle Seahawks 31-28 in Sunday’s game, and that Denver quarterback Manning will be named the game’s MVP after throwing for 322 yards and three touchdowns.

The prediction has surely left Seattle fans united in their disdain: Who cares what a video game says? But the fact is that Madden NFL has a remarkable track record when it comes to the Super Bowl, and has correctly called the winner in eight of the last ten match-ups.

Last year, Electronic Arts’ simulation of Super Bowl XLVII correctly predicted a three-point Baltimore Ravens win, called touchdowns by Anquan Boldin and Frank Gore, nailed Joe Flacco as the game’s MVP, and even forsaw an Ed Reed interception as the only pick in the game.

Overall, the video game has shown a high degree of accuracy not only in choosing Super Bowl winners, but identifying the point spread:

Year Bowl Madden’s Prediction Actual Score Accuracy
2013 XLVII Ravens 27, 49ers 24 Ravens, 34-31 Correct (+0)
2012 XLVI Giants 27, Patriots 24 Giants, 21-17 Correct (-1)
2011 XLV Steelers 24, Packers 20 Packers, 31-25 Wrong (-10)
2010 XLIV Saints 35, Colts 31 Saints, 31-17 Correct (+0)
2009 XLIII Steelers 28, Cardinals 24 Steelers, 27-23 Correct (+0)
2008 XLII Patriots 38, Giants 30 Giants, 17-14 Wrong (-12)
2007 XLI Colts 38, Bears 27 Colts, 29-17 Correct (-1)
2006 XL Steelers 24, Seahawks 19 Steelers, 21-10 Correct (-6)
2005 XXXIX Patriots 47, Eagles 31 Patriots, 24-21 Correct (+13)
2004 XXXVIII Patriots 23, Panthers 20 Patriots, 32-29 Correct (-1)

This year’s simulation, run via Madden NFL 25, says that Sunday’s game will be the first Super Bowl ever to go into overtime, thanks in large part to Peyton Manning’s 322 yard, and three touchdown performance. Demaryius Thomas will catch 11 of those passes for 168 yards and a touchdown, and kicker Matt Prater will hit a 48-yard field goal to win the game for the Broncos.

Learn about the most influential game of our time in my new book, Of Dice and Men: The Story of Dungeons & Dragons and The People Who Play It. Follow me on Twitter, Facebook or Google +.

Also on Forbes:

Madden NFL 25

Source: Forbes

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