NASA Predicts 99.9 Percent Chance Of Big Earthquake In LA

Posted: Oct 21 2015, 5:30am CDT | by , in News | Latest Science News

NASA Predicts 99.9 Percent Chance of Big Earthquake in LA
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  • NASA says Chances are Close to Certain for LA County Earthquake in the Future

A new study by a NASA JPL geophysicist has claimed that the probability is 99.9 percent that a 5.0 or greater earthquake will hit Los Angeles County in next 3 years. The prediction carries too much scientific weight behind it to be wrong.

The probability of a massive earthquake in LA County is almost a dead cert. It will be a 5.0 on the Richter scale and will strike some time in the next two and a half years or so. The loci are the same as the La Habra earthquake which occurred in the San Gabriel Valley a year ago.

The potential for a fairly large earthquake in the geologically troubled region is next to certain on a scientific level. Very few have voiced their concern regarding such predictions. The voices in the wilderness say that prediction is an uncertain science.

Nothing could be said for sure about the future since too many factors enter into the equation. The future will always remain undecided that is until it does arrive in its full force. Earthquakes are capricious and whimsical things that Mother Nature took upon herself at the drop of a hat. Human beings could not speak of such matters with such impunity.

The study “Potential for a large earthquake near Los Angeles inferred from the 2014 La Habra earthquake” was published on Oct. 1 and revised on Oct. 7 on the online Earth and Space Science website. It was authored by Jet Propulsion Laboratory’s Andrea Donnellan along with a number of other earthquake scientists.

The study will be released soon for public perusal. The La Habra earthquake caused substantial damage to residential areas and commercial locations in the region of the San Gabriel Valley.

But the earthquake that may occur along similar fault lines in the future will have a reading of 6.0 on the Richter scale. This will be devastating in its destructive effects were it to actually happen.

Thus the debate about it is in earnest since if it can be said to occur with surety than something must be done about it in advance. Damage caused by earthquakes varies between magnitude and intensity. The tools are not exact and it is based on indirect measuring methods.

NASA stands by its words. The future earthquake is bound to happen. It is not a matter of will it happen but when it happens. Thus to be prepared is of the essence. Those who question the validity of the esteemed agency’s predictions are like ostriches with their heads in the sand.

And with movies such as San Andreas which came out a while back, the writing on the wall is clear. LA and its surrounding areas have been epicenters of earthquakes since eons. The denizens of this region should have known by now that it is not a safe place to live since it is built along a major fault line.

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<a href="/latest_stories/all/all/20" rel="author">Sumayah Aamir</a>
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