Climate Change Caused The French Floods

Posted: Jun 11 2016, 7:01am CDT | by , in News | Latest Science News

 
Climate Change Caused the French Floods
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  • Analysis Indicate Climate Change as a Factor Causing the French Floods

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Climate analysts are trying to prove that the climate change is responsible for change in weather patterns leading to flooding in Europe.

The heavy rainfall in the recent month of May in France and Germany has caused a great distress. The city of Paris and various cities in Germany have come under heavy flooding. While the governments and the rescue services of the said countries are trying to provide relief to the affected, another breed of analysts is keenly interested in this heavy rainfall.

The various scientists and analysts from the World Weather Attribution (WWA) partnership have been conducting research on the area. WWA consisting of scientists from the Royal Netherlands Meteorological Institute, Oxford University and other institutions have been trying to prove that climate change can be attributed to changing weather patterns.

Analysis of historical temperatures for the region and running many computer simulations with regional climate models, including some in which it is assumed there is no human-caused climate change have been conducted by WWA and Climate Central to prove their hypothesis.

While the studies have proved that the weather event in France can be attributed to climate change, those in Germany came back inconclusive. Scientists best estimate was that global warming increased the probability of such a deluge by 80 percent for the Seine River basin, according to NYTimes.

Going towards the south and west of Paris, the best estimate was a 90 percent greater likelihood for the Loire River basin. Researchers claim, that there is at least a 40 percent greater likelihood of a three-day deluge because of climate change.

In Germany however, the weather patterns can be attributed to the same meteorological activity but the rain pattern differed. According to Heidi Cullen of Climate Central, the rains tended to come in shorter, more intense bursts. Thus the scientists found no conclusive link between the weather pattern in France and Germany.

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