Atlanta Falcons Will Win Super Bowl 51 By Defeating New England Patriots

Posted: Feb 2 2017, 11:12am CST | by , Updated: Feb 2 2017, 1:08pm CST , in Super Bowl


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Atlanta Falcons Will Win Super Bowl 51 by Defeating New England Patriots

New prediction by Pitt researcher Pelechrinis says that Atlanta Falcon will win Super Bowl 51

According to a new prediction, Atlanta falcons will defeat New England in super bowl 51. University of Pittsburgh researcher, Konstantinos Pelechrinis, who leads Pitt's School of Information Sciences' Network Data Science Lab, predicted this that based his claim on NFL’s 7 years data.

NFL executives and coaches follow analytics to improve their information about the game to be superior to their opponents. Similar reason seems behind the prediction, said Konstantinos Pelechrinis, an associate professor in Pitt's school of information sciences.

The study published in PLOS journal included games from 2009 to 2015. Pelechrinis deeply analyzed the data and found important factors involved in the game, including penalty yardage, and turnover differential among others that’s related to winning prediction. The data showed that with one fewer turnover than the opposition caused an increase of 20 percent in winning.

The researcher studied a probability model to develop FPM football prediction match system to compare the teams. He compared patriots and falcons according to the factors during the season of 2016.

After going through 10,000 simulations, Pelechrinis made a conclusion that Atlanta falcons will win the Super Bowl 51 and chances are 54 percent. Both teams are strong these days, but Pelechrinisis confident that Falcons will win the first Vince Lombardi Trophy.

Pelechrinis’s model was 90 percent correct, and according to him the system is very accurate in predicting NFL games with 63 percent accuracy. The study also discovered the strategic on field decision making.

It showed that most coaches are conservative in certain conditions, like a fourth-down conversions and point-after-touchdown that decreases the winning probability of the team.

Pelechrinis is also a team leader of Pitt’s School of Information Sciences’ network data lab. He also said that I don’t always make prediction using touchdown factor.

He mostly considers the circumstances going inside the game. Like, if the team is down by one point with less than two minutes in the game, then situation will change.

Evangelos Papalexakis, a professor of computer science at the University of California, Riverside also helped Pelechrinis in making this prediction

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The Author

<a href="/latest_stories/all/all/20" rel="author">Sumayah Aamir</a>
Sumayah Aamir (Google+) has deep experience in analyzing the latest trends.




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