Prediction: Android Will Beat IOS In Tablet Market Share In 6 Months

Posted: Jan 31 2011, 12:54pm CST | by , in Android


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Prediction: Android Will Beat iOS in Tablet Market Share in 6 Months

I can hardly wait for July 31.

Android tablets will hold a larger chunk of the US market share than the iPad by July 31st. This isn't a very precise prediction, but I'd be seriously surprised if it takes much longer than that to happen.

Why am I so confident? The Samsung Galaxy Tab hasn't been any kind of hit. And the other big-name Android tablets have yet to see a launch. Shouldn't we expect the same sort of long, slow road to supremacy with tablets that we saw with smartphones?

The fact is, Google has already begun to devour the iPad's market share. Back in early January IDC stated that the first (limited) wave of Android slates had only sunk the iPad to 87.4%.

But now Strategy Analytics reports that Android devices actually gobbled up 22% of the global tablet market in Q4. The iPad is down to 75%. Which is still pretty damn impressive, but also a sign of how much progress Android has made without a good tablet to its name.

That won't last long, and I think we can expect to see Android's tablet growth really take off starting with the Xoom's launch in February. Sure, there's the iPad 2 to deal with, but by the time it launches the tablet market will be a VERY different place. The iPad won't be the only viable, high-end tablet. And this summer will be filled with a bevy of belated entrants from companies like Toshiba.

So yeah. Android #1 in tablets by the end of July. See if I'm wrong.*

*It is entirely possible that I am wrong.

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The Author

<a href="/latest_stories/all/all/5" rel="author">Robert Evans</a>
The excitement about new smartphones, tablets and anything mobile drive Robert to unearth the latest rumors and developments in this fast moving space. He adopted 4G as soon as it become available and knows where the mobile market is going.
Robert can be contacted directly at




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