Analysts predict Tesla will only deliver about 45,000 units in 2015 rather than 50,000-55,000 units.
2016 is just around the corner and analysts have started playing the guessing game. It constitutes whether or not Tesla will reach its delivery target for 2016. In 2015 Tesla had promised it will deliver between 50,000 and 52,000 units.
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Previously Tesla had increased its production target for Q4 to up to 17,000 units. Then Tesla had to reduce its estimated delivery figure for 2015. Hybrid Cars had predicted Tesla will not be able to reach its goal. Tesla will have to jump a high bar in production to reach the target.
According to Tesla they had 33,174 sales through the end of September 2015. Hybrid Cars has revealed Tesla sold only 3500 cars in October. So that puts Tesla’s production average monthly delivery rate at about 3,667 cars.
So for a full year Tesla has the capacity to produce a total of 44,008 units. To reach the goal of 50,000 Tesla needs to deliver 6,663 vehicles in the last month of 2015. All the figures were predicted on the sales rate for the first ten months of 2015.
Other analysts have also commented on Tesla’s delivery target. According to Zacks it wil be difficult for Tesla to reach its 2015 goals. Morgan Stanley predicted Tesla could reach 51,000 but not 55,000.
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It is possible the Black Friday sales could help the numbers of Tesla sales. Even Dan Dolev the Jeffries analyst predicted Tesla Model X will see 5000 deliveries by the en d of December 2015. However all analysts unanimously predict Tesla will not reach its 55,000 unit sales target.